FOR PUBLICATION

UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS

FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT

JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES No. 22-56090

INC.; RAYMOND BROWN;

CALIFORNIA YOUTH SHOOTING D.C. No. SPORTS ASSOCIATION, INC.; 2:22-cv-04663-

REDLANDS CALIFORNIA YOUTH CAS-JC

CLAY SHOOTING SPORTS, INC.;

CALIFORNIA RIFLE AND PISTOL

ASSOCIATION, INCORPORATED; OPINION

THE CRPA FOUNDATION; GUN

OWNERS OF CALIFORNIA, INC.;

SECOND AMENDMENT

FOUNDATION,

Plaintiffs-Appellants,

v.

ROB BONTA, in his official capacity as Attorney General of the State of California; DOES 1 - 10,

Defendants-Appellees.

Appeal from the United States District Court for the Central District of California Christina A. Snyder, District Judge, Presiding 2 JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA

Argued and Submitted June 28, 2023 Pasadena, California

Filed September 13, 2023

Before: N. Randy Smith, Kenneth K. Lee, and Lawrence VanDyke, Circuit Judges.

Opinion by Judge Lee; Concurrence by Judge VanDyke

SUMMARY*

First Amendment/Commercial Speech

The panel reversed the district court’s denial of plaintiffs’ motion for a preliminary injunction seeking to enjoin, pursuant to the First and Fourteenth Amendments, a California law that prohibits the advertising of any “firearm- related product in a manner that is designed, intended, or reasonably appears to be attractive to minors.” California Business and Professions Code § 22949.80. The panel assumed that California’s law regulates only commercial speech and that intermediate scrutiny applies. Applying intermediate scrutiny, the panel first concluded that because California permits minors under supervision to possess and use firearms for hunting and other lawful

* This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It has been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.

JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA 3

activities, Section 22949.80 facially regulates speech that concerns lawful activity and is not misleading. Next, the panel held that section 22949.80 does not directly and materially advance California’s substantial interests in reducing gun violence and the unlawful use of firearms by minors. There was no evidence in the record that a minor in California has ever unlawfully bought a gun, let alone because of an ad. Finally, the panel held that section 22949.80 was more extensive than necessary because it swept in truthful ads about lawful use of firearms for adults and minors alike. Because plaintiffs had shown a likelihood of success on the merits and the remaining preliminary injunction factors weighed in plaintiffs’ favor, the panel reversed the district court’s denial of the preliminary injunction and remanded for further proceedings. Concurring, Judge VanDyke wrote separately to emphasize that laws like section 2249.80, which attempt to use the coercive power of the state to eliminate a viewpoint from public discourse, deserve strict scrutiny. This circuit’s precedent is ambiguous about whether viewpoint- discriminatory laws that regulate commercial speech are subject to strict scrutiny. In the appropriate case, this circuit should make clear they are. 4 JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA

COUNSEL

Anna M. Barvir (argued) and Carl D. Michel, Michel & Associates PC, Long Beach, California; Donald Kilmer, Law Offices of Donald Kilmer, Caldwell, Idaho; for Plaintiffs-Appellants. Gabrielle D. Boutin (argued), Deputy Attorney General, Office of the California Attorney General, Sacramento, California; Kevin J. Kelley, Deputy Attorney General, Mark R. Beckington, Supervising Deputy Attorney General; Thomas S. Patterson, Senior Assistant Attorney General; Rob Bonta, California Attorney General; Office of the California Attorney General, Los Angeles, California; for Defendants-Appellees. Marc J. Randazza, Randazza Legal Group PLLC, Las Vegas, Nevada; Jay M. Wolman, Randazza Legal Group PLLC, Hartford, Connecticut; for Amicus Curiae Second Amendment Law Center, Jews for the Preservation of Firearm Ownership, and Citizens’ Committee for the Right to Keep and Bear Arms.

OPINION

LEE, Circuit Judge:

This case is not about whether children can buy firearms. (They cannot under California law.) Nor is this case about whether minors can legally use firearms. (California allows minors under adult supervision to possess and use firearms for hunting, target practice, and other activities.) And this

JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA 5

case is not about whether California has tools to combat the scourge of youth gun violence. (It does.) Rather, this case is about whether California can ban a truthful ad about firearms used legally by adults and minors—just because the ad “reasonably appears to be attractive to minors.” So, for example, an ad showcasing a safer hunting rifle with less recoil for minors would likely be unlawful in California. Under our First Amendment jurisprudence, states can ban truthful and lawful advertising only if it “materially” and “directly” advances a substantial government interest and is no more extensive than necessary. California likely cannot meet this high bar. While California has a substantial interest in reducing gun violence and unlawful use of firearms by minors, its law does not “directly” and “materially” further either goal. California cannot straitjacket the First Amendment by, on the one hand, allowing minors to possess and use firearms and then, on the other hand, banning truthful advertisements about that lawful use of firearms. There is no evidence in the record that a minor in California has ever unlawfully bought a gun, let alone because of an ad. Nor has the state produced any evidence that truthful ads about lawful uses of guns—like an ad about hunting rifles in Junior Sports Magazines’ Junior Shooters—encourage illegal or violent gun use among minors. Simply put, California cannot lean on gossamers of speculation to weave an evidence-free narrative that its law curbing the First Amendment “significantly” decreases unlawful gun use among minors. The First Amendment demands more than good intentions and wishful thinking to warrant the government’s muzzling of speech. 6 JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA

California’s law is also more extensive than necessary, as it sweeps in truthful ads about lawful use of firearms for adults and minors alike. For instance, an advertisement directed at adults featuring a camouflage skin on a firearm might be illegal because minors may be attracted to it. Because Junior Sports Magazines has shown a likelihood of success on the merits and the remaining Winter factors favor it, we reverse the district court’s denial of preliminary injunction and remand. Winter v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc., 555 U.S. 7, 20 (2008).

BACKGROUND

I. California enacts § 22949.80 to prohibit advertising

firearm-related products “in a manner that is designed, intended, or reasonably appears to be attractive to minors.” California’s gun restriction laws are considered among the strictest of any state in the nation. 2023 Everytown Gun Law Rankings, Everytown Rsch. & Pol’y (Jan. 12, 2023), https://everytownresearch.org/rankings. Yet firearm-related activities, such as hunting and sport shooting, remain popular among Californians, including minors, across a vast swath of this state. See, e.g., License Statistics: Hunting Licenses, Cal. Dept. of Fish & Wildlife (last visited July 24, 2023), https://wildlife.ca.gov/Licensing/Statistics/action/review/co ntent/6949#huntinglicenses. California allows minors— with the consent or supervision of a parent or guardian—to possess and use firearms for “lawful, recreational sport, including, but not limited to, competitive shooting, or agricultural, ranching, or hunting activity.” Cal. Penal Code §§ 29615, 29610. In fact, California law encourages and incentivizes lawful firearm use among minors. See, e.g.,

JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA 7

Hunting Licenses and Tags, Cal. Dep’t of Fish & Wildlife, https://wildlife.ca.gov/licensing/hunting (offering discounted license fees for “junior hunters,” i.e., those under sixteen years old). Amid concerns about gun violence, however, the California legislature recently became wary of youth interest in firearms. According to the legislature, “the proliferation of firearms to and among minors poses a threat to the health, safety, and security of all residents of, and visitors to, [the] state,” as “[t]hese weapons are especially dangerous in the hands of minors.” Assemb. B. 2571, Ch. 77 § 1 (Cal. 2022). The legislature thus sought to quell that interest. But rather than repeal California’s firearm-possession laws for minors (which could spark opposition from many Californians who use firearms lawfully), the legislature chose to regulate the “firearm industry” by limiting what it can say in the state. The resulting law, Assembly Bill (AB) 2571, is the subject of this appeal. AB 2571, as later amended by AB 160, is codified at § 22949.80 of the California Business and Professions Code. The statute mandates that “[a] firearm industry member shall not advertise, market, or arrange for placement of an advertising or marketing communication offering or promoting any firearm-related product in a manner that is designed, intended, or reasonably appears to be attractive to minors.” Cal. Bus. & Prof. Code § 22949.80(a)(1). It thus applies only to marketing or advertising, which it defines as making, “in exchange for monetary compensation, . . . a communication, about a product, the primary purpose of which is to encourage recipients of the communication to engage in a commercial transaction.” Id. § 22949.80(c)(6). The law does not apply, however, to communications “offering or promoting” firearm safety programs, shooting 8 JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA

competitions, hunting activities, or membership in any organization. Id. § 22949.80(a)(3). For advertisements that fall within the scope of the regulation, § 22949.80 prescribes a totality-of-the- circumstances test to determine whether the marketing is “attractive to minors.” Id. § 22949.80(a)(2). This assessment considers, for example, whether the advertisement “[o]ffers brand name merchandise for minors”; “[o]ffers firearm-related products in sizes, colors, or designs that are specifically designed to be used by, or appeal to, minors”; or “[u]ses images or depictions of minors in advertising and marketing materials to depict the use of firearm-related products.” Id. § 22949.80(a)(2)(B)–(C), (E). Section 22949.80 is enforced with civil penalties not exceeding $25,000 for each violation, and injunctive relief is available “as the court deems necessary to prevent the harm described in this section.” Id. § 22949.80(e)(1), (4).

II. The district court denies Junior Sports Magazines

Inc. preliminary injunctive relief against the enforcement of § 22949.80. Junior Sports Magazines Inc. publishes Junior Shooters, a youth-oriented magazine focused on firearm-related activities and products. According to Junior Sports Magazines, its ability to publish Junior Shooters depends on advertising revenue. Fearing liability under § 22949.80, Junior Sports Magazines has ceased distributing the magazine in California and has placed warnings on its website deterring California minors from accessing its content. Shortly after California enacted AB 2571, Junior Sports Magazines challenged its constitutionality under the First

JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA 9

and Fourteenth Amendments. Junior Sports Magazines also moved to preliminarily enjoin the enforcement of § 22949.80. The district court denied the injunction, however, determining that Junior Sports Magazines was not likely to succeed on the merits of its claims. In particular, the court found that § 22949.80 regulates only commercial speech. It thus did not review the law under strict scrutiny— as would typically apply to laws restricting speech—and instead applied the less-stringent intermediate scrutiny standard established by Central Hudson Gas & Electric Corp. v. Public Service Commission of New York, 447 U.S. 557 (1980). Under this standard, the court found that § 22949.80 is likely constitutional, determining that the law is no more restrictive than necessary to advance the government’s substantial interest in reducing unlawful firearm possession and preventing violence. Junior Sports Magazines timely appealed the district court’s order.

STANDARD OF REVIEW

“A plaintiff seeking a preliminary injunction must establish that [it] is likely to succeed on the merits, that [it] is likely to suffer irreparable harm in the absence of preliminary relief, that the balance of equities tips in [its] favor, and that an injunction is in the public interest.” Winter, 555 U.S. at 20. The most important among these factors is the likelihood of success on the merits. California v. Azar, 911 F.3d 558, 575 (9th Cir. 2018). This is especially true for constitutional claims, as the remaining Winter factors typically favor enjoining laws thought to be unconstitutional. See Melendres v. Arpaio, 695 F.3d 990, 1002 (9th Cir. 2012); see also Index Newspapers LLC v. U.S. Marshals Serv., 977 F.3d 817, 837–38 (9th Cir. 2020) (order). 10 JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA

We review the district court’s denial of a preliminary injunction for an abuse of discretion. Harris v. Bd. of Supervisors, 366 F.3d 754, 760 (9th Cir. 2004). Whether factual findings satisfy a First Amendment legal standard, like the Central Hudson test, however, is reviewed de novo. See Peel v. Atty. Registration & Disciplinary Comm’n, 496 U.S. 91, 108 (1990); Prete v. Bradbury, 438 F.3d 949, 967 (9th Cir. 2006).

DISCUSSION

The parties dispute whether we should review § 22949.80 as a restriction of purely commercial speech under the test announced in Central Hudson or as a content- and viewpoint-based restriction of speech under strict scrutiny review. We need not decide this issue because “the outcome is the same whether a special commercial speech inquiry or a stricter form of judicial scrutiny is applied.” Sorrell v. IMS Health Inc., 564 U.S. 552, 571 (2011). We thus assume that California’s law regulates only commercial speech and that Central Hudson’s intermediate scrutiny applies.1

1 Junior Sports Magazines contends that the Supreme Court in Sorrell suggested that even commercial speech restrictions “must be tested by heightened judicial scrutiny” if they are content or viewpoint discriminatory. Sorrell, 564 U.S. at 563, 566. But California responds that our court has read Sorrell narrowly, holding that intermediate scrutiny still applies for at least content-based restrictions on commercial speech. See Retail Digital Network, LLC v. Prieto, 861 F.3d 839, 847 (9th Cir. 2017) (en banc). But see Int’l Outdoor, Inc. v. City of Troy, 974 F.3d 690, 703, 705, 707–08 (6th Cir. 2020) (“[T]he intermediate-scrutiny standard applicable to commercial speech . . . applies only to a speech regulation that is content-neutral on its face.”). We, however, do not need to answer this question to decide this case.

JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA 11

And even assuming that intermediate scrutiny applies, California’s advertising restriction likely imposes an unconstitutional burden on protected speech. The state has made no showing that broadly prohibiting certain truthful firearm-related advertising is sufficiently tailored to significantly advance the state’s goals of preventing gun violence and unlawful firearm possession among minors. Because California fails to satisfy its burden to justify the proposed speech restriction, Junior Sports Magazines is likely to prevail on the merits of its First Amendment claim.

I. Junior Sports Magazine is likely to succeed on the

merits of its First Amendment claim. When a statute restricts only commercial speech, Central Hudson provides a multipart test to assess whether the law is constitutional. Under this framework, we first ask whether the regulated speech is misleading or concerns unlawful activity. See Central Hudson, 447 U.S. at 563–64. Such speech receives no First Amendment protection. See id. If the regulated speech “is neither misleading nor related to unlawful activity, the government’s power is more circumscribed.” Id. at 564. It thus becomes the state’s burden to show that the statute directly and materially advances a substantial governmental interest and that “it is not more extensive than is necessary to further that interest.” Id. at 566; see also Edenfield v. Fane, 507 U.S. 761, 767 (1993); Sorrell, 564 U.S. at 572. We hold that California has failed to justify its infringement on protected speech under the Supreme Court’s Central Hudson framework. A. Section 22949.80 regulates speech that is not misleading and that concerns lawful activity. 12 JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA

The state contends that § 22949.80 regulates misleading speech about unlawful activity because California law prohibits firearm sales to minors and restricts firearm possession by minors. But California’s argument founders on the fact that it permits minors under adult supervision to possess and use firearms for hunting, shooting competitions, and other lawful activities. Cal. Penal Code §§ 29615, 29610. So California’s prohibition on advertisements that “reasonably appear[] to be attractive to minors” would include messages about legal use of guns by minors. For example, many Californians hunt with their children, but it would likely be unlawful for a firearm industry member to show that lawful activity in its advertisements—not because it is misleading or involves illegal acts but because it “[u]ses images or depictions of minors . . . to depict the use of firearm-related products.” Cal. Bus. & Prof. Code § 22949.80(a)(2)(E). In addition, § 22949.80 does not apply only to speech soliciting minors to purchase or use firearms unlawfully. Instead, it applies to any advertisements “offering or promoting any firearm-related product in a manner that is designed, intended, or reasonably appears to be attractive to minors.” Cal. Bus. & Prof. Code § 22949.80(a)(1) (emphasis added). Because of this broad wording, § 22949.80 facially encompasses speech directed at adults— who can lawfully purchase firearms—whenever that speech might also reach minors. That alone refutes the state’s argument that the law inherently concerns unlawful activity. See Educ. Media Co. at Va. Tech v. Swecker, 602 F.3d 583, 589 (4th Cir. 2010) (“[A]dvertisements for age-restricted— but otherwise lawful—products concern lawful activity where the audience comprises both underage and of-age members.”); Centro de la Comunidad Hispana de Locust

JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA 13

Valley v. Town of Oyster Bay, 868 F.3d 104, 113–14 (2d Cir. 2017) (holding that “commercial speech is not categorically removed from” Central Hudson’s test unless “all manifestations of the restricted speech” are misleading or relate to unlawful activity”). We thus hold that § 22949.80 facially regulates speech whose content concerns lawful activities and is not misleading. We now address whether the state has met its burden to show that the law directly and materially advances a substantial governmental interest and is no more extensive than necessary. We conclude that it has not. B. Section 22949.80 does not directly and materially advance California’s substantial interests. California articulates two interests for its speech restriction: (1) preventing unlawful possession of firearms by minors and (2) protecting its citizens from gun violence and intimidation. We recognize that these interests are substantial. See City of Los Angeles v. Alameda Books, Inc., 535 U.S. 425, 435 (2002) (plurality opinion); Nordyke v. Santa Clara County, 110 F.3d 707, 713 (9th Cir. 1997). But simply having a substantial interest does not validate the state’s advertising prohibition. Under Central Hudson, a state seeking to justify a restriction on commercial speech bears the burden to prove that its law directly advances that interest to a material degree. 447 U.S. at 564; Edenfield, 507 U.S. at 770. To satisfy its burden, California must provide evidence establishing “that the harms it recites are real,” Edenfield, 507 U.S. at 770–71, and that its speech restriction will “significantly” alleviate those harms, 44 Liquormart, Inc. v. Rhode Island, 517 U.S. 484, 505–06 (1996) (plurality opinion). This burden is at its highest where, as here, a state “takes aim at accurate commercial information,” 44 14 JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA

Liquormart, 517 U.S. at 503, 507 (plurality opinion), in an express effort to regulate “a popular but disfavored product,” Sorrell, 564 U.S. at 577–79. California’s defense of § 22949.80 falls well short of this requirement. The state insists that the law will advance its substantial interests by dampening demand for firearms among minors. Yet every argument that it makes to bolster this theory lacks supporting evidence. To start with the obvious, a state may not restrict protected speech to prevent something that does not appear to occur. See Edenfield, 507 U.S. at 770–71. Yet here— despite enacting a bill whose statement of purpose asserts that “[f]irearms marketing contributes to the unlawful sale of firearms to minors”—the state admitted at oral argument that it is unaware of a single instance in which a minor unlawfully bought a firearm in California (presumably because a minor would not pass background check and other requirements). Assemb. B. 2571, Ch. 77 § 1 (Cal. 2022); cf. Lorillard Tobacco Co. v. Reilly, 533 U.S. 525, 557–61 (2001) (citing multiple studies connecting tobacco-industry advertising to underage tobacco use). And if the state cannot cite a single case of a minor in California unlawfully buying a gun, then an advertisement about firearms logically could not have contributed to such a sale. Changing tack, the state contends that because firearm advertising generally creates demand for firearm-related products, it also increases the overall likelihood that minors will illegally possess and use those products—not just purchase them. The state reasons that by restricting firearm- related advertising, § 22949.80 will materially prevent unlawful firearm possession and limit gun violence. Rather than support this argument with any evidence, California

JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA 15

maintains that “common sense”—which, in reality, is just speculation here—provides all the justification it needs. But the First Amendment requires more than fact-free inferences to justify governmental infringement on speech. There are certainly cases in which “history, consensus, and ‘simple common sense”’ are enough to justify a law restricting speech. Fla. Bar v. Went For It, Inc., 515 U.S. 618, 628 (1995) (quoting Burson v. Freeman, 504 U.S. 191, 211 (1992)). But a state can invoke “common sense” only if the connection between the law restricting speech and the government goal is so direct and obvious that offering evidence would seem almost gratuitous. But as the government’s justifications for a regulation become more attenuated, bare appeals to common sense quickly veer into impermissible speculation. In such cases, the state needs to provide evidence to substantiate that its law will meaningfully further its stated objectives. The Supreme Court’s decision in 44 Liquormart, Inc. v. Rhode Island, is instructive. Rhode Island had banned advertising alcohol prices, arguing that the law would decrease price competition and ultimately lead to less alcohol consumption. 44 Liquormart, 517 U.S. at 489, 504– 05. Writing for a plurality of the Court, Justice Stevens conceded that common sense could suggest that a ban on pricing advertisements would tend to lead to less price competition, causing higher market prices. Id. at 505. He further assumed that demand for alcohol is “somewhat lower” when prices are higher. Id. But the Court concluded that the state had to do more than appeal to common sense and a chain of inferences to prove that the law would “significantly advance the State’s interest in promoting temperance”: it had to provide “evidentiary support.” Id. (emphasis added); see also id. at 523 (Thomas, J., 16 JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA

concurring) (disagreeing with the plurality’s approach as too permissive); Greater New Orleans Broad. Ass’n v. United States, 527 U.S. 173, 188–89 (1999) (noting that even if “advertising concerning casino gambling increases demand for such gambling, which in turn increases the amount of casino gambling that produces those social costs . . . . it does not necessarily follow that the Government’s speech ban has directly and materially furthered the asserted interest”). California’s argument suffers from a similar flaw. To be sure, we agree that advertising can theoretically stimulate demand. See Coyote Pub., Inc. v. Miller, 598 F.3d 592, 608 (9th Cir. 2010).2 But that is not enough here for the simple reason that firearm use by minors is not per se unlawful. As explained earlier, California allows minors to possess and use guns with adult supervision for hunting, shooting competitions, target practice, and other lawful activities. California even encourages demand for gun use by minors by giving permit discounts for young hunters. See Greater New Orleans Broad, 527 U.S. at 189 (“[A]ny measure of the effectiveness of the Government’s attempt to minimize the social costs of gambling cannot ignore Congress’ simultaneous encouragement of tribal casino gambling.”).

2 California argues that this truism is enough to meet its burden, citing cases involving limitations on tobacco and alcohol advertisements. See, e.g., Disc. Tobacco City & Lottery, Inc. v. United States, 674 F.3d 509, 539–41 (6th Cir. 2012) (underage smoking); Swecker, 602 F.3d at 589– 90 (underage drinking). But minors cannot legally consume tobacco or alcohol, so ads touting those products to minors would be per se unlawful. In contrast, minors are allowed to use firearms with adult supervision in California for certain activities. Moreover, that advertising contributes to underage substance use is an empirically supported consensus opinion. See Lorillard Tobacco Co., 533 U.S. at 557–61 (citing studies); Disc. Tobacco, 674 F.3d at 541.

JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA 17

Given that minors can use guns in California, dampened demand for firearms among minors cannot by itself be a substantial government interest. Rather, decreasing demand for firearms can only be a means to an end for California. Ultimately, the state hopes that § 22949.80’s restrictions on truthful advertising will decrease demand for guns, which in turn will “significantly reduce” either unlawful firearm possession by minors or gun violence. See 44 Liquormart, 517 U.S. at 505 (plurality opinion). But by relying on a chain of inferences, California cannot merely gesture to “common sense” to meet its burden of showing that the law will “significantly” advance its goals. If anything, “common sense” suggests the contrary: minors who unlawfully use guns for violence likely are not doing so because of, say, an advertisement about hunting rifles in Junior Shooters magazine. The state has provided no evidence—or even an anecdote—that minors are unlawfully using firearms because of advertisements for guns by the firearm industry. With no evidence connecting truthful and lawful firearm advertising to unlawful firearm possession or gun violence, California has not shown that § 22949.80 directly advances its interests to a material degree. See id. at 505–07; Greater New Orleans Broad., 527 U.S. at 189. And even if California could provide some evidence, it would have to show that its law restricting speech would “significantly” advance the state’s goals. 44 Liquormart, 517 U.S at 505 (plurality opinion). In the end, California spins a web of speculation—not facts or evidence—to claim that its restriction on speech will significantly curb unlawful firearm use and gun violence among minors. The First Amendment cannot be so easily trampled through inferences and innuendo. We thus conclude that California has not justified its intrusion on 18 JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA

protected speech. To hold otherwise “would require us to engage in the sort of ‘speculation or conjecture’ that is an unacceptable means of demonstrating that a restriction on commercial speech directly advances the State’s asserted interest.” 44 Liquormart, 517 U.S. at 505–07 (plurality opinion) (quoting Edenfield, 507 U.S. at 770). C. Section 22949.80 is more extensive than necessary. Even if California’s advertising restriction significantly slashes gun violence and unlawful use of firearms among minors, the law imposes an excessive burden on protected speech. Central Hudson requires the government to show “a reasonable fit between the means and ends of the regulatory scheme,” Lorillard Tobacco Co., 533 U.S. at 561, such that the “suppression of speech ordinarily protected by the First Amendment is no more extensive than necessary to further the State’s interest,” Central Hudson, 447 U.S. at 569–70. So “if the Government could achieve its interests in a manner that does not restrict speech, or that restricts less speech, the Government must do so.” Thompson v. W. States Med. Ctr., 535 U.S. 357, 371 (2002); see also Central Hudson, 447 U.S. at 566 n.9 (“We review with special care regulations that entirely suppress commercial speech in order to pursue a nonspeech-related policy. In those circumstances, a ban on speech could screen from public view the underlying governmental policy.”); Sorrell, 564 U.S. at 575 (citing 44 Liquormart, 517 U.S. at 503 (plurality opinion)). We emphasize again that § 22949.80 is not limited to speech encouraging minors to illegally buy firearms. Nor is it circumscribed to reach only speech depicting unlawful possession of firearms. It also is not narrowly focused on speech encouraging minors to engage in unlawful uses of firearms. See Sorrell, 564 U.S. at 573. And it does not target

JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA 19

advertisements in contexts geared exclusively to minors. See, e.g., Swecker, 602 F.3d at 590–91 (affirming the constitutionality of an alcohol advertising restriction that applied only to “campus publications targeted at students under twenty-one”). Instead, it applies to any firearm- product advertisement—no matter the audience—so long as it “reasonably appears to be attractive to minors.” Under the plain—and sweeping—language of the statute, a company potentially could not market a camouflage-colored gun for adults because it could “reasonably appear[] to be attractive to minors.” § 22949.80(a)(1). And bizarrely, California’s law would likely ban advertisements promoting safer guns for minors— for example, a hunting rifle designed for young hunters that has less recoil or that comes with a more secure trigger safety—if they are directed at minors and their parents. Id. In view of its apparent lack of any limiting principles, § 22949.80 effectively constitutes a blanket restriction on firearm-product advertising. A speech restriction of that scope is not constitutionally sound under any standard of review. See Lorillard Tobacco Co., 533 U.S. at 561–65 (determining that a regulation “prohibit[ing] any smokeless tobacco or cigar advertising within 1,000 feet of schools or playgrounds” was too broad because “[i]n some geographical areas, [it] would constitute nearly a complete ban on the communication of truthful information about smokeless tobacco and cigars to adult consumers”); Valle Del Sol, 709 F.3d at 826. 20 JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA

Because the state cannot justify its broad advertising restriction, we conclude that Junior Sports Magazines is likely to prevail on the merits of its First Amendment claim.3

II. Because Junior Sports Magazines is likely to succeed

on the merits, the remaining Winter factors weigh in its favor. After demonstrating a likelihood of success on the merits of its claim, a party seeking a preliminary injunction must establish that it is “likely to suffer irreparable harm in the absence of preliminary relief, that the balance of equities tips in [its] favor, and that an injunction is in the public interest.” Winter, 555 U.S. at 20. “When the government is a party, the last two factors merge.” Azar, 911 F.3d at 575; see also Nken v. Holder, 556 U.S. 418, 435 (2009). But when a party has established likelihood of success on the merits of a constitutional claim—particularly one involving a fundamental right—the remaining Winter factors favor enjoining the likely unconstitutional law. See Melendres, 695 F.3d at 1002 (“It is well established that the deprivation of constitutional rights ‘unquestionably constitutes irreparable injury.’” (quoting Elrod v. Burns, 427 U.S. 347, 373 (1976))); Index Newspapers, 977 F.3d at 838 (recognizing “the significant public interest in upholding First Amendment principles” (quoting Associated Press v. Otter, 682 F.3d 821, 826 (9th Cir. 2012))). It is no different here.

CONCLUSION

3 Given this holding, we need not address its constitutional association and equal protection claims.

JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA 21

California has many tools to address unlawful firearm use and violence among the state’s youth. But it cannot ban truthful ads about lawful firearm use among adults and minors unless it can show that such an intrusion into the First Amendment will significantly further the state’s interest in curtailing unlawful and violent use of firearms by minors. But given that California allows minor to use firearms under adult supervision for hunting, shooting, and other lawful activities, California’s law does not significantly advance its purported goals and is more extensive than necessary. In sum, we hold that § 22949.80 is likely unconstitutional under the First Amendment, and we thus REVERSE the district court’s denial of a preliminary injunction and REMAND for further proceedings consistent with this opinion.

VANDYKE, Circuit Judge, concurring,

California wants to legislate views about firearms. The record for recently enacted California Assembly Bill 2751 (AB 2751) indicates a legislative concern that marketing firearms to minors would “seek[] to attract future legal gun owners,” and that that’s a negative thing. No doubt at least some of California’s citizens share that view. They may dream that someday everyone will be repulsed by the thought of using a firearm for lawful purposes such as hunting and recreation. But just as surely some of California’s citizens disagree with that view. Many hope their sons and daughters will learn to responsibly use firearms for lawful purposes. Firearms are controversial products, and don’t cease to be so when used by minors. But as the majority opinion explains well, there are a variety of 22 JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA

ways a minor can lawfully use firearms in California. And the State of California may not attempt to reduce the demand for lawful conduct by suppressing speech favoring that conduct while permitting speech in opposition. That is textbook viewpoint discrimination. That is precisely what California did in Assembly Bill 2751. Under this law, those who want to discourage minors from lawfully using firearms (such as for hunting or shooting competitions) are free to communicate their messages. Certain speakers (“firearm industry members”) who want to promote the sale of firearms to minors, however, are silenced. I agree with the majority opinion that, even assuming intermediate scrutiny applies, California’s nascent speech code cannot withstand it. I write separately to emphasize that laws like AB 2751, which attempt to use the coercive power of the state to eliminate a viewpoint from public discourse, deserve strict scrutiny. Our circuit’s precedent is ambiguous about whether viewpoint- discriminatory laws that regulate commercial speech are subject to strict scrutiny. In the appropriate case, we should make clear they are.

I. The California Legislature and Governor Targeted

Speech that Encourages Lawful Conduct They Dislike. In June 2022, California enacted Assembly Bill 2751. AB 2751 restricts speech on the basis of viewpoint. “If a law is facially neutral, we will not look beyond its text to investigate a possible viewpoint-discriminatory motive.” Interpipe Contracting, Inc. v. Becerra, 898 F.3d 879, 899 (9th Cir. 2018). But AB 2751 is not “facially neutral” between viewpoints on the topic of minors using firearms. Id. It prohibits advertisements about the use of firearms by

JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA 23

minors that make a “firearm-related product … appear[] to be attractive to minors,” while allowing those that don’t. Cal. Bus. & Prof. Code § 22949.80(a)(1). More specifically, the law prohibits “firearm industry members” from “advertis[ing], market[ing], or arrang[ing] for placement of an advertising or marketing communication offering or promoting any firearm-related product in a manner that is designed, intended, or reasonably appears to be attractive to minors.” Id. Because the law discriminates on its face, “we may peel back the legislative text and consider legislative history and other extrinsic evidence to probe the legislature’s true intent.” Interpipe Contracting, Inc., 898 F.3d at 899. When the text is peeled back, the legislative record indicates an intention that the law will stop the message that minors should lawfully use firearms, and a hope that the law will prevent minors from eventually becoming adults who have a favorable view of gun ownership and use. The very beginning of the legislative analysis of the bill identifies the messages that California attempted to stop in passing AB 2571: messages that “entice children to be interested in possessing and using firearms.” One of the legislators who authored AB 2751 lamented in the press release announcing the bill that “[g]un manufacturers view children as their next generation of advocates.” Revealing even more animus, the bill’s author characterized firearms designed for minors as “disturbing products.” The record also indicates that California viewed stopping youth from possessing firearms as itself a compelling interest, independent of California’s concern with gun violence or misuse of firearms. AB 2751 itself includes a finding that California, independent of any concern for gun violence, “has a compelling interest in ensuring that minors do not possess these dangerous weapons.” The analysis 24 JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA

prepared for the Assembly Committee on Judiciary explicitly separated California’s interest in “protecting its citizens” from its “compelling interest in ensuring that minors do not possess these dangerous weapons.” Elsewhere in the legislative record, it is indicated that the bill “[was] prompted by the incidence of marketing and advertising of firearm-related products to children,” advertising that “arguably [sought] to attract future legal gun owners.” California is concerned with the prospect of children growing up to become “legal” gun owners. One ostensibly concerning example of marketing was a gun manufacturer marketing a firearm as being “the first in a line of shooting platforms that will safely help adults introduce children to the shooting sports.” (Emphasis added.). The same analysis quotes a news article stating that some members of the gun industry “see kids as a vital group of future gun buyers who need to be brought into the fold at a young age.” The bill’s author warns: “Gun manufacturers view children as their next generation of advocates and customers.” Thus, the State must take “away” the “tool” of advertisement “from the gun industry.” The author’s animus toward positive messages about firearm usage is underlined by the legislative record’s reference to a report criticizing the firearm industry’s purported attempt to cultivate interest in firearms from minors. The governor of California, who sponsored the bill, shared the legislature’s open animus against the messages targeted by AB 2751. The announcement that Governor Newsom signed the bill stated that the “legislation … directly targets the gun lobby and [firearm] manufacturers.” After signing the law, Governor Newsom

JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA 25

took to Twitter and described the messages prohibited by the bill as “sick marketing ploys” and stated that the bill “goes into effect immediately because decent human beings, people with common sense, know that we should not be allowing [these messages].” The executive branch and the bill’s proponents in the legislature did not work in vain to extinguish a viewpoint from the public discussion on firearms. AB 2751 effectively removes one viewpoint from the public conversation over the proper role of firearms in our society, while leaving the opposite viewpoint free to participate. Under AB 2751, those opposed to minors using firearms for competitions, hunting, and other lawful uses may advocate against such usage. Those who “advocat[e] for the purchase, use, or ownership of firearm-related products,” however, may not promote firearm-related products to minors, even though the minors can use these products for lawful activities. See, e.g., Cal. Bus. & Prof. Code § 22949.80(a)(1), (c)(4)(B). Take, for example, a picture depicting a father and son hunting. Without worrying about violating any California law, that picture could be placed in a magazine with the tagline, “Unsafe! Kids Should Shoot Baskets, Not Birds.” AB 2751 would, however, prohibit a gun manufacturer from placing an advertisement using that very same picture with the tagline, “Our New Rifle Shoots with Precision and Minimal Recoil—Great for Training Young Shooters to Shoot Safely!” AB 2751 would suppress the latter while permitting the former. “This is blatant viewpoint discrimination.” Good News Club v. Milford Cent. Sch., 533 U.S. 98, 124 (2001) (Scalia, J., concurring); see also Iancu v. Brunetti, 139 S. Ct. 2294, 2299 (2019) (noting that the “essence of viewpoint discrimination” is when a law 26 JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA

“reflects the Government’s disapproval of a subset of messages it finds offensive” (citation omitted)). California has thus singled out a particular message it does not like and prohibited its proliferation. Its intent to stamp out this speech is evident from the record. And it crafted a targeted legislative scheme to get the job done. This kind of effort to stamp out disliked viewpoints deserves the strictest of scrutiny. “A legislature cannot privilege one set of speakers as the good guys, while restraining another set of speakers as the baddies.” Ass’n of Nat. Advertisers, Inc. v. Lungren, 44 F.3d 726, 739 (9th Cir. 1994) (Noonan, J., dissenting).

II. California’s Undisguised Viewpoint-Discrimination

Should Be Subjected to Strict Scrutiny. The First Amendment, almost universally, “forbids” laws that restrict speech on the basis of viewpoint. Members of City Council v. Taxpayers for Vincent, 466 U.S. 789, 804 (1984). The Supreme Court has carved out one exemption allowing the government to discriminate between viewpoints: when the government is itself speaking. See, e.g., Legal Servs. Corp. v. Velazquez, 531 U.S. 533, 541 (2001). The Court has not been so explicit about carving out any restriction from the First Amendment’s blanket disapprobation of viewpoint discrimination for when the speech is commercial. Given the strong default rule that viewpoint-discriminatory laws are simply impermissible under the First Amendment, and the lack of an express carveout for commercial speech restrictions, there is no good reason a law like AB 2751 should be subjected to anything less than strict scrutiny. Admittedly, our own circuit’s precedent leaves room to argue for a lower level of scrutiny. But as explained below, our precedent doesn’t compel a

JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA 27

lower level of scrutiny either. And it would be good for us to clarify in the right case that commercial speech isn’t an exception to the almost-universal rule that governmental attempts to police viewpoints are subjected to the highest form of judicial skepticism. Start with first principles. Government action that regulates speech on the basis of that speech’s content is inherently suspect and “presumptively unconstitutional” under the First Amendment. Reed v. Town of Gilbert, 576 U.S. 155, 163 (2015). A content-based restriction regulates the “public discussion of an entire topic.” Id. at 156 (citation omitted). If California had, for example, prohibited any advertisements related to the use of firearms by minors, then arguably it would have been engaging “only” in content- based discrimination. But courts have always viewed attempts to regulate viewpoints with even greater suspicion than regulating content. Viewpoint discrimination is a type of content discrimination, but a “more blatant” type, Rosenberger v. Rector & Visitors of Univ. of Va., 515 U.S. 819, 829 (1995), which is why the Supreme Court has described the First Amendment as almost universally “forbid[ding] the government [from] regulat[ing] speech in ways that favor some viewpoints or ideas at the expense of others,” Members of City Council, 466 U.S. at 804. Viewpoint discrimination falls only a little short of being per se invalid under the First Amendment. See Pleasant Grove City v. Summum, 555 U.S. 460, 469 (2009) (noting that content-based restrictions 28 JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA

“must satisfy strict scrutiny,” but “restrictions based on viewpoint are prohibited”).1 Indeed, the reason for this “pocket of absolutism” in the Court’s First Amendment jurisprudence, where it almost never permits viewpoint-discriminatory speech restrictions, is not hard to comprehend.2 “The First Amendment creates an open marketplace in which differing ideas about political, economic, and social issues can compete freely for public acceptance without improper government interference.” Knox v. Serv. Emps. Int’l Union, Loc. 1000, 567 U.S. 298, 309 (2012) (cleaned up). When the government attempts to stamp out the presentation of one viewpoint, no matter how much the government may dislike it, it short-circuits the public’s ability to reason together. “The best test of truth is the power of the thought to get itself accepted in the competition of the market, and the people lose when the government is the one deciding which ideas should prevail.” Nat’l Inst. of Fam. & Life Advocs. v. Becerra, 138 S. Ct. 2361, 2375 (2018) (cleaned up).

1 The Supreme Court has repeatedly emphasized the First Amendment’s near-absolute prohibition on laws that restrict speech based on the viewpoint of the speaker. See Fowler v. Rhode Island, 345 U.S. 67, 69– 70 (1953) (citing Niemotko v. Maryland, 340 U.S. 268, 273–73 (1951)); Police Dep’t of City of Chicago v. Mosley, 408 U.S. 92, 96 (1972); Erznoznik v. City of Jacksonville, 422 U.S. 205, 209 (1975); First Nat’l Bank of Boston v. Bellotti, 435 U.S. 765, 785–86 (1978); Perry Educ. Ass’n v. Perry Local Educators’ Ass’n, 460 U.S. 37, 48–49 (1983); Members of City Council, 466 U.S. at 804; Cornelius v. NAACP Legal Def. & Educ. Fund, Inc., 473 U.S. 788, 806 (1985); Lamb’s Chapel v. Ctr. Moriches Union Free Sch. Dist., 508 U.S. 384, 394 (1993); Rosenberger, 515 U.S. at 828–29; Iancu, 139 S. Ct. at 2299. 2 Rodney A. Smolla, Smolla & Nimmer on Freedom of Speech § 4:8.

JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA 29

Putting first principles to the side, the Supreme Court has also stated that “the Constitution … accords a lesser protection to commercial speech than to other constitutionally guaranteed expression.” Cent. Hudson Gas & Elec. Corp. v. Pub. Serv. Comm’n of New York, 447 U.S. 557, 563 (1980). California argues that this means that AB 2751 need withstand only Central Hudson’s intermediate scrutiny. But as multiple circuits have indicated, even though content-based speech restrictions on commercial speech must only survive intermediate scrutiny, there is good reason to conclude that a law restricting commercial speech on the basis of viewpoint merits strict scrutiny. See Greater Phila. Chamber of Com. v. City of Philadelphia, 949 F.3d 116, 139 (3d Cir. 2020) (“We realize, of course, that it may be appropriate to apply strict scrutiny to a restriction on commercial speech that is viewpoint-based.”); Dana’s R.R. Supply v. Att’y Gen., Fla., 807 F.3d 1235, 1248 (11th Cir. 2015) (“[M]erely wrapping a law in the cloak of ‘commercial speech’ does not immunize it from the highest form of scrutiny due government attempts to discriminate on the basis of viewpoint.”); cf. Int’l Outdoor, Inc. v. City of Troy, 974 F.3d 690, 708 (6th Cir. 2020) (applying strict scrutiny to a restriction of commercial speech based on content). The Supreme Court has never invoked Central Hudson to apply intermediate scrutiny to a law that discriminates between viewpoints, even in the commercial context. Cf. R.A.V. v. City of St. Paul, 505 U.S. 377, 434 (1992) (Stevens, J., concurring in the judgment) (noting that “in upholding subject-matter regulations we have carefully noted that viewpoint-based discrimination was not implicated”). The closest the Supreme Court has come to addressing whether commercial speech restrictions enjoy an exemption from the 30 JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA

default rule of strict scrutiny for viewpoint discrimination was in Sorrell v. IMS Health, Inc., 564 U.S. 552 (2011). The Court there described the law’s “practical operation” as “go[ing] beyond mere content discrimination[] to actual viewpoint discrimination.” Id. at 565. The Court thus concluded that “heightened judicial scrutiny [was] warranted.” Id. Although it did not there define “heightened judicial scrutiny,” the Court cited two cases, one of which discussed intermediate scrutiny and one of which discussed strict scrutiny. See id. (citing Cincinnati v. Discovery Network, Inc., 507 U.S. 410, 418 (1993) (discussing intermediate scrutiny), and Turner Broad. Sys., Inc. v. FCC, 512 U.S. 622, 658 (1994) (discussing strict scrutiny)). The Supreme Court noted that it could apply either “a special commercial speech inquiry,” i.e., something like Central Hudson’s intermediate scrutiny, “or a stricter form of judicial scrutiny.” Id. at 571. The Court then assumed without deciding that something like Central Hudson’s intermediate scrutiny applied because “the outcome [was] the same” regardless of which scrutiny the Court applied. Id. But if the Court in Sorrell had definitely concluded that commercial speech restrictions receive less than strict scrutiny even when they target certain viewpoints, it would have been odd for it to merely assume that something like intermediate scrutiny applied. Sorrell thus suggests that the Supreme Court has never carved out commercial speech from the default rule that viewpoint-discriminatory speech restrictions invoke strict scrutiny. It certainly doesn’t compel the opposite conclusion. The fact that the Supreme Court has never expressly exempted commercial speech from the standard application of strict scrutiny for viewpoint-discriminatory laws is especially probative given that the Court has exempted

JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA 31

government speech, and done so expressly. As several members of the Court pointed out, “[i]t is telling that the Court’s precedents have recognized just one narrow situation in which viewpoint discrimination is permissible: where the government itself is speaking or recruiting others to communicate a message on its behalf.” Matal v. Tam, 582 U.S. 218, 253 (2017) (Kennedy, J., concurring in part and concurring in the judgment). “[W]hen the government speaks for itself, the First Amendment does not demand airtime for all views.” Shurtleff v. City of Boston, 142 S. Ct. 1583, 1587 (2022). By contrast, the Court has never clearly exempted commercial speech. Indeed, it is not even clear that our own circuit’s precedent requires we subject a law like AB 2751 to anything less than strict scrutiny. California cites Retail Digital Network, LLC v. Prieto to support its contention that AB 2751, even if content-based, should receive only intermediate scrutiny. See 861 F.3d 839, 846 (9th Cir. 2017) (en banc). That is because our court there held that Sorrell did not change the applicability of Central Hudson’s intermediate scrutiny test to content-based restrictions on commercial speech. Id. at 849. Then-Chief Judge S.R. Thomas wrote a persuasive dissent in that case, explaining how our court misread Sorrell. Id. at 851. I agree with him that Sorrell “requires ‘heightened judicial scrutiny,’ rather than traditional intermediate scrutiny under Central Hudson.” Id. But putting aside whether Retail Digital Network was correctly decided, it is not obvious that the analysis in Retail Digital Network even controls laws that, like here, discriminate on the basis of viewpoint. Our court in Retail Digital Network never discussed the relevance of the test applied in Sorrell to viewpoint-based restrictions on 32 JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA

commercial speech. The court instead reasoned that Sorrell did not change the applicability of Central Hudson to content-based restrictions on speech. Id. at 848–49. While Retail Digital Network does not mention viewpoint- discrimination, one could argue that, in describing the scrutiny applicable to restrictions of commercial speech on the basis of content, our court also implicitly set the level of scrutiny applicable to restrictions of commercial speech on the basis of viewpoint—because the latter is a subset of the former. See Rosenberger, 515 U.S. at 829. But the Supreme Court has also been clear in regularly distinguishing “mere” content-based discrimination from the even more troubling viewpoint-based discrimination. See R.A.V., 505 U.S. at 391 (“In its practical operation, moreover, the ordinance goes even beyond mere content discrimination, to actual viewpoint discrimination.”). I have my doubts that we should read a level of scrutiny applicable to less concerning laws (content-based restrictions), as automatically applying to more concerning laws (viewpoint-based restrictions)— especially given that the First Amendment all but flatly prohibits those more concerning laws. In short, there are good reasons to believe the First Amendment subjects viewpoint-discriminatory commercial speech restrictions to strict scrutiny. I see a lot in the Supreme Court’s precedent supporting that conclusion, and nothing in our precedent preventing it. But there is no need to wrestle these questions to the ground in this case. In the appropriate case where it makes a difference, we should look at that question closely—and I would be surprised and disappointed if the result was that we failed to subject to strict scrutiny a law that targets speech because of its viewpoint.

JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA 33

*** The Court long ago held that commercial speech deserves less protection under the First Amendment than other speech. See Cent. Hudson Gas & Elec. Corp., 447 U.S. at 563. Many have criticized the coherence and foundation of that position. See 44 Liquormart, Inc. v. Rhode Island, 517 U.S. 484, 520 & n.2 (1996) (Thomas, J., concurring in part and concurring in the judgment) (collecting cases). This case illustrates one aspect of the damage done to our republic by the commercial speech doctrine. It has become an attractive nuisance to reactive legislatures that reflexively attempt to target ideas the legislature finds disagreeable. AB 2751 is a particularly egregious example. The summary of AB 2751 emphasizes a belief that, just because a law addresses commercial speech, the government enjoys a carveout from the typical scrutiny applied to a law that directly targets ideas and messages for suppression. In other words, the record suggests that California believed it could rely on the courts’ lessened protection for “commercial speech” to get away with activity—suppressing ideas and messages the government merely finds disagreeable—that strikes right at the heart of the First Amendment. But even Central Hudson recognized that we should “review with special care regulations that entirely suppress commercial speech in order to pursue a nonspeech-related policy.” 447 U.S. at 566 n.9. What might justify a truly neutral regulation cannot “save a regulation that is in reality a facade for viewpoint-based discrimination.” Cornelius v. NAACP Legal Def. & Educ. Fund, 473 U.S. 788, 811 (1985). As the majority opinion correctly concludes, California here did such a bad job that its attack on a disfavored viewpoint cannot even withstand intermediate scrutiny. But we should be cognizant of the risks that the commercial speech doctrine 34 JUNIOR SPORTS MAGAZINES, INC. V. BONTA

engenders from governments eager to impose their vision of rightthink on the people. And in the appropriate case, we should carefully consider whether our precedent and the Supreme Court’s precedent are truly open to the manipulation of free speech by governments that clothe their disapprobation of certain viewpoints in restrictions on commercial speech.